Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 204.604072 223.089519 241.916474 262.495102 284.324138 306.758435 331.526376
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 171.135789 198.596634 227.799156 261.035604 297.682526 336.727232 381.340407
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 145.891538 179.656859 217.046597 261.195862 311.571291 366.936496 432.055126
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 127.988222 166.626551 211.039910 265.244140 328.976201 400.910213 487.596839
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 113.769292 156.105327 206.489488 269.853456 346.367208 434.752846 543.502917
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 104.435210 150.305627 206.622756 279.335501 369.172724 475.002047 607.489393
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 95.360693 143.749529 204.956294 285.956087 388.167707 510.735236 666.577910
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 84.778457 134.080778 198.374382 285.591023 397.963715 535.067187 712.012288
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 75.593554 125.329819 192.137025 284.922165 406.822571 557.945156 755.658099
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 71.115360 122.666272 193.630499 294.097574 428.173026 596.510038 819.115682
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 66.549715 119.392587 193.908806 301.379088 446.960391 631.947034 879.038010
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 62.664061 116.726581 194.719608 309.165081 466.344118 668.263260 940.434043
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 59.075420 114.327165 195.883715 317.626605 487.099942 707.138100 1006.344265
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 51.203387 104.440955 185.509663 309.326522 484.782000 715.767946 1033.447407
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 45.397056 97.323276 178.726642 305.689690 488.519163 732.213213 1070.758004
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 41.594067 93.201594 176.192783 307.994127 500.406491 759.566863 1122.641191
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 38.488967 89.980465 174.808075 311.819014 514.379833 789.830483 1178.692226
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 36.879482 89.295080 177.366521 321.567927 536.923353 832.003291 1251.100409
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 34.825974 87.573509 178.089920 328.438982 555.358412 868.743018 1316.624823
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 31.558743 83.183489 174.098712 327.764543 562.648748 890.094343 1361.547308
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 28.563938 78.988764 170.133576 326.867374 569.433326 910.687482 1405.545089
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 27.590096 78.814931 173.034213 336.912915 592.607895 954.476072 1481.661408
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.357936 77.967071 174.669076 344.896178 612.762750 994.204234 1552.574403